.THERE IS ACTUALLY bit hesitation regarding the very likely winner of Britain's standard political election on July 4th: with a top of twenty percentage factors in nationwide opinion surveys, the Work Party is actually very most likely to succeed. Yet there is uncertainty concerning the measurements of Work's majority in Britain's 650-seat Home of Commons. Some ballot firms have actually posted seat prophecies utilizing an unique technique referred to as multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP). What are these polls-- and how precise are they?